Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Total Volume

$2.58K

Events

Markets

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Vol

$2.58K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.58K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.58K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?	Kalshi	63%
Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	40%
Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	40%
Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?	Kalshi	37%
Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	30%
Will Bilbao score over 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$2.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If Vallecano records above X goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Vallecano in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. Own goals count

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If Vallecano records above X goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Vallecano in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. Own goals count 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Vallecano records above 2.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Vall"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Bilbao score over 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Volume$2.58K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.0¢No 37.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

If Bilbao records above 0.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Bilbao

KALSHI

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

If Vallecano records above 1.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Vall

KALSHI

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

If Bilbao records above 1.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Bilbao

KALSHI

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

If Vallecano records above 0.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Vall

KALSHI

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

If Vallecano records above 2.5 goals in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to Vall

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-CoC0V" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

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Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Markets (6)

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

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Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Team Total

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

Will Bilbao score over 1.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 0.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

Will Vallecano score over 2.5 goals?

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