Name: UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-04-19T03:59:59.999Z

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UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $45.97K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $45.97K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	75%
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)	Poly	63%
Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?	Poly	52%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	45%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	43%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	43%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	31%
Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?	Poly	30%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$45.97K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official infor

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 19, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official infor

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Mandel Nallo" if Mandel Nallo is officially declared the winner of the fight against Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026.

It will resolve to "Jai Herbert" if Jai Herbert is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is decla"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $46.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $42.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $45.9K
  DATA: [Mandel Nallo: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [Jai Herbert: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 19, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Over: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 57.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Volume$45.97K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mandel Nallo defeats Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualifica

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 42.5¢No 57.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by submission?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will the fight be won by submission?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Mandel Nallo and Jai Herbert at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will res

POLYMARKET

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jai Herbert defeats Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualifica

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1d 15h remaining

Apr 19, 2026 3:59 AM

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Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-FGm4A" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Markets (9)

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

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Discussion

Next Market Closes

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

Will Mandel Nallo win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

Will Jai Herbert win by KO or TKO?

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Discussion

Next Market Closes

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