Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?	Kalshi	12%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?	Kalshi	10%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?	Kalshi	8%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?	Kalshi	6%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?	Kalshi	5%
Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2027?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

12%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Jan 2030 If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves, or announces she will leave, as President of Mexico before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the scheduled end of Claudia Sheinbaum's term, such as a statement that she will hand over power when her term ends, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 2030

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves, or announces she will leave, as President of Mexico before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement that merely acknowledges the scheduled end of Claudia Sheinbaum's term, such as a statement that she will hand over power when her term ends, does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.

An announcement"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2030): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement

KALSHI

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement

KALSHI

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.0¢No 92.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement

KALSHI

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement

KALSHI

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

If Claudia Sheinbaum leaves (or announces she will leave) as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. An announcement

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-GXj2o" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Markets (6)

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2030?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2029?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jul 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Claudia Sheinbaum announce their departure as President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2028?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget