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![]() | Poly | 38% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Washington State Cougars and San Francisco Dons on January 18 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive victory for the San Francisco Dons. The contract "Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Dons" is trading at just 20% on Polymarket. This translates to an implied 80% probability that the San Francisco Dons will win the game. A 20% chance suggests the market views a Washington State victory as a significant underdog outcome, possible but not the expected result.
Two primary factors are driving this lopsided market pricing. First, team performance and rankings heavily favor San Francisco. The Dons have consistently been a strong mid-major program in recent seasons, often competing for the West Coast Conference title behind Gonzaga. Washington State, while a Power Five program in the Pac-12, has struggled with consistency and enters this non-conference matchup as the perceived weaker team based on early-season resumes and key metrics like NET rankings.
Second, the location of the game is a major consideration. This game is being played at the Chase Center in San Francisco, effectively a home game for the Dons. Home-court advantage in college basketball is a well-documented and powerful edge, contributing significantly to the market's confidence in a San Francisco win. The combination of superior team strength and a favorable venue creates a clear consensus.
The primary catalyst that could shift these odds is a major injury report or lineup announcement affecting a key San Francisco player before tip-off. If a star Dons guard or forward were ruled out, the market would likely see rapid movement. Conversely, Washington State could see its odds improve if betting patterns indicate sharp money flowing in on the Cougars, signaling that professional bettors have identified a mismatch the public markets have missed. However, with the game resolving in just two days, the window for such a shift is narrow, and the current 80% probability for San Francisco reflects a stable consensus.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a college basketball game scheduled for January 18 at 7:00 PM Eastern Time between the Washington State Cougars and the San Francisco Dons. The event is part of the 2024-2025 NCAA Division I men's basketball season. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win the contest, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations. This non-conference matchup is notable as it features two programs from different major conferences, the Pac-12 and the West Coast Conference, competing in the middle of their respective conference schedules, offering a valuable inter-conference test for both teams. Interest in this market stems from the competitive nature of both programs, their potential for postseason play, and the individual talent on display. The game's timing in mid-January makes it a key barometer for each team's development as they approach the critical final stretch of the regular season. Bettors and fans are analyzing team form, key player matchups, and historical performance to predict the outcome, with the market providing a quantified consensus on the likely winner.
The basketball histories of Washington State and the University of San Francisco are distinct. Washington State, a member of the Pac-12 Conference, has had periods of success, most notably reaching the NCAA Tournament's Sweet Sixteen in 2008 under coach Tony Bennett. The program has historically competed in one of the nation's premier conferences but has often faced challenges in achieving consistent postseason success. The University of San Francisco boasts a more storied, albeit older, basketball legacy. The Dons won back-to-back NCAA championships in 1955 and 1956, led by Hall of Fame center Bill Russell. They were a national powerhouse in the 1950s but faced NCAA sanctions in the 1980s that set the program back for decades. In recent years, under coaches like Kyle Smith (who now leads Washington State) and Todd Golden, USF has re-emerged as a consistent contender in the West Coast Conference, making NCAA Tournament appearances in 2022 and 2024. The direct head-to-head history between these two schools is limited, with their last meeting occurring in the 2021-22 season, a game won by Washington State. This infrequency adds an element of unpredictability to their matchups.
This game holds significance for the postseason aspirations of both programs. A win for Washington State against a quality West Coast Conference opponent strengthens its resume for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament, which is particularly important given the competitive nature of the Pac-12. For San Francisco, a victory over a Power Five conference team provides a major boost to its own tournament resume and enhances the national reputation of the WCC beyond Gonzaga. The outcome also has implications for conference perception and seeding in postseason tournaments like the NIT, should either team not secure an NCAA bid. Furthermore, the game is a showcase for the players involved, many of whom are being evaluated by professional scouts. Strong performances on this stage can impact future professional opportunities, whether in the NBA, the G League, or overseas leagues.
As of mid-January 2025, both teams are engaged in their respective conference schedules. Washington State is competing in Pac-12 play, while San Francisco is navigating the West Coast Conference. Their records and performances in these games leading up to January 18 will directly influence their national rankings, team morale, and injury status. The latest developments involve monitoring the health of key players, any adjustments in team strategy following recent games, and the specific travel logistics for the game. Analysts are comparing each team's performance in close games and their efficiency metrics to forecast the outcome of this non-conference clash.
The game is scheduled to be played at the University of San Francisco's home venue, the War Memorial at the Sobrato Center, in San Francisco, California. This gives the Dons a home-court advantage for this non-conference matchup.
The television broadcast information for the game is typically announced closer to the date. It is likely to be carried on a network affiliated with the Pac-12 or West Coast Conference, such as ESPN, CBS Sports Network, or a regional sports network. Checking the official athletic websites for both schools provides the most accurate and up-to-date broadcast details.
Yes, the teams have met previously, though not frequently. Their most recent meeting was during the 2021-22 season, a game won by Washington State. The overall series history is limited, adding an element of novelty to this matchup.
As of mid-season, both teams are generally considered to be on the NCAA Tournament bubble. Washington State's chances hinge on its performance in the Pac-12, while San Francisco's rely on success in the WCC and in key non-conference games like this one. A win in this matchup would significantly bolster either team's tournament resume.
Pre-game betting lines, or spreads, established by sportsbooks will indicate which team is favored. Given that Washington State is from a Power Five conference and San Francisco is the home team, the line is likely to be close, reflecting a competitive matchup. Prediction markets will aggregate sentiment to show the perceived probability of each team winning.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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