Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event "Ehab vs Benoit" contains two binary markets: "Joaquin Benoit wins" and "Marwan Ehab wins." The event rules state: "If X wins the Ehab vs Benoit professional tennis match in the 2026 M15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The rules also say that if the match does not occur before the match starts, "all markets will resolve to $0.50." A player who "withdraws or forfeits after a match has started" resolves to No. [1]

If the match is postponed or delayed, the rules say "the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished, within two weeks." [1] The excerpt says the listed end time is "not supplied." The market records show an end date of 2026-11-17T09:00:00.000Z for both markets, but that value is a provider close field, not a confirmed match time. [1]

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-03T00:16:01.895Z. [1] This is a record of what the provider showed at those times, not a live price for the present moment.

At observation, the Yes price for "Joaquin Benoit wins" was 0.64, and the Yes price for "Marwan Ehab wins" was 0.395. [1] These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two Yes prices sum to 1.035 in this snapshot, which reflects how the quoted prices stand at that time, not a basis for any trade. Both markets are on the same match and should be read together, not as separate forecasts.

Coverage is two of two markets for this saved event, and the sample is not marked partial. [1] The sample warning, however, states that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] Because this is a two-outcome match, the reader should not assume that other outcomes exist or do not exist.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it does not show trader counts, volume effects, or recent news about the match. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or participation, and the excerpt provides no volume figures for interpretation here. [1]

The contract close timing is unclear from the supplied excerpt. The listed end date is 2026-11-17, but the official end time is not supplied, and postponement could extend the close. [1] Anyone comparing this contract with another platform should check that the wording, cancellation rules, and close times match before comparing prices. This evidence contains no other platform's contract, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

References

1. Kalshi: Ehab vs Benoit. Provider data observed 2026-11-03T00:00:05.823Z.