Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Name: M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia
End: 2026-10-20T09:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$30.11

Events

Markets

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M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Vol

$30.11

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $30.11

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $30.11

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)	Poly	50%
M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia	Poly	44%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$30.11

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Mathieu Scaglia. This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Luka Talan Lopatic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 202

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 20, 2026 (8 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Mathieu Scaglia.

This market will resolve to 'Mathieu Scaglia' if Mathieu Scaglia advances against Luka Talan Lopatic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 202

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Luka Talan Lopatic' if Luka Talan Lopatic advances against Mathieu Scaglia.

This market will r"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $30
* **Total Liquidity:** $455
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Luka Talan Lopatic: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [Mathieu Scaglia: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Luka Talan Lopatic: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Mathieu Scaglia: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Mathieu Scaglia: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Luka Talan Lopatic: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Volume$30.11

Markets3

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POLYMARKET

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Talan Lopatic and Mathieu Scaglia in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Luka Talan Lopatic" if Luka Talan Lopatic wins by 2 or more sets than Mathieu Scaglia, based on the final c

POLYMARKET

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

This market refers to the tennis match between Mathieu Scaglia and Luka Talan Lopatic in the M15 Heraklion, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mathieu Scaglia" if Mathieu Scaglia wins by 2 or more sets than Luka Talan Lopatic, based on the final comp

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Oct 20, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-Vwbdv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia"></iframe>

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M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

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Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Markets (3)

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

M15 Heraklion: Luka Talan Lopatic vs Mathieu Scaglia

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Luka Talan Lopatic (-1.5) vs Mathieu Scaglia (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Mathieu Scaglia (-1.5) vs Luka Talan Lopatic (+1.5)

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