Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Total Volume

$1.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Vol

$1.26K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.26K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.26K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	73%
Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	45%
Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	17%
Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

73%

Top Probability

$1.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026 If the President signs above X executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025," and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. Payout criteria An

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026

If the President signs above X executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan 1, 2025 to Jan 7, 2025," and on January 10th the Federal Register published a numbered Executive Order with a January 7th signing date, the market would resolve to Yes. Payout criteria An

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the President signs above 4 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved

The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to.
For example, if the period was "Jan"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 31, 2026): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Volume$1.26K

Markets5

5 of 5

Sort:

KALSHI

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

If the President signs above 0 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan

KALSHI

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

If the President signs above 1 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan

KALSHI

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.5¢No 83.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

If the President signs above 2 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan

KALSHI

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

If the President signs above 4 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan

KALSHI

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

If the President signs above 3 executive orders during Oct 11, 2026 to Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved The signing date as recorded in the Federal Register determines which period an Executive Order belongs to. For example, if the period was "Jan

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

30¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-_3Rvr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Markets (5)

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 2 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Will the President sign more than 3 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget