Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

Name: Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva
End: 2026-04-23T00:25:00.000Z

Total Volume

$383.27

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $383.27

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $383.27

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva	Poly	78%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

Top Probability

$383.27

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for April 15 at 8:25PM ET: If the Obras win, the market will resolve to "Obras". If the Independiente de Oliva win, the market will resolve to "Independiente de Oliva". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 23, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for April 15 at 8:25PM ET:
If the Obras win, the market will resolve to "Obras".
If the Independiente de Oliva win, the market will resolve to "Independiente de Oliva".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for April 15 at 8:25PM ET:
If the Obras win, the market will resolve to "Obras".
If the Independiente de Oliva win, the market will resolve to "Independiente de Oliva".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $383
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 23, 2026): Vol $383
  DATA: [Obras: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [Independiente de Oliva: 22.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

5d 20h remaining

Apr 23, 2026 12:25 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

78¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Obras vs. Independiente de Oliva

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)