Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Mississippi cotton production in 2027

Total Volume

$38.49K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Mississippi cotton production in 2027

Vol

$38.49K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $38.49K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $38.49K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?	Kalshi	93%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?	Kalshi	73%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?	Kalshi	62%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?	Kalshi	44%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?	Kalshi	20%
Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,100,000 bales?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$38.49K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2027 If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above X bales, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Cotton, Upland → Production → 480 LB Bales. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mississippi cotton production in 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above X bales, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Cotton, Upland → Production → 480 LB Bales. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 1,100,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales.

Use Cotton → "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $38.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,100,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $11.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $10.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 61.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 38.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 7, 2028): Vol $10.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Mississippi cotton production in 2027

Volume$38.49K

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 600,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Co

KALSHI

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 73.0¢No 27.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 700,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Co

KALSHI

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 61.5¢No 38.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 800,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Co

KALSHI

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.0¢No 56.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 900,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton → Co

KALSHI

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

If USDA NASS reports that Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 is above 1,000,000 bales, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported Cotton, Upland - Production for Mississippi for the 2027 crop year, measured in 480-pound bales. Use Cotton →

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Mississippi cotton production in 2027

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Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

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Events (1)

Mississippi cotton production in 2027

Markets (6)

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

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Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Mississippi cotton production in 2027

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 600,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 700,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 800,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 900,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

Will Mississippi’s upland cotton production for 2027 be above 1,000,000 bales?

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