Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Kentucky coal production in 2027

Total Volume

$67.82K

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Markets

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Kentucky coal production in 2027

Vol

$67.82K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $67.82K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $67.82K

100%

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6 markets tracked

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?	Kalshi	87%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?	Kalshi	75%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?	Kalshi	37%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?	Kalshi	21%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?	Kalshi	8%
Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 30 million short tons?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

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87%

Top Probability

$67.82K

Volume

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About This Event

2027 If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above X million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included. This market will close and expire

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Kentucky coal production in 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above X million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included. This market will close and expire 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 

30 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $67.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 30 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $630
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $9.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $20.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2028): Vol $13.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Kentucky coal production in 2027

Volume$67.82K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 20 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20

KALSHI

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 22 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20

KALSHI

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 24 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20

KALSHI

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 26 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20

KALSHI

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 28 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 20

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Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Kentucky coal production in 2027

Markets (6)

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

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Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Kentucky coal production in 2027

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 20 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 22 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 28 million short tons?

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