Name: FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result
End: 2026-04-18T15:00:00.000Z

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FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result | PredictPedia

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Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?	Poly	42%
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?	Poly	40%
FC Lorient leading at halftime?	Poly	20%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between FC Lorient and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026 If FC Lorient wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been complet"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $73
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. FC Lorient leading at halftime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

1d 21h remaining

Apr 18, 2026 3:00 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-n_tnX" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result"></iframe>

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FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result

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Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result

Markets (3)

Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?

FC Lorient leading at halftime?

FC Lorient leading at halftime?

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Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

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FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille - Halftime Result

Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?

FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime?

FC Lorient leading at halftime?

FC Lorient leading at halftime?

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