Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

X Money APY at end of 2026

Total Volume

$2.42K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

X Money APY at end of 2026

Vol

$2.42K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.42K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.42K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?	Kalshi	92%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?	Kalshi	87%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?	Kalshi	86%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?	Kalshi	77%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?	Kalshi	42%
Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.50%?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$2.42K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

December 31, 2026 If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. X publishes a Standard and a Boosted rate for each subscription tier, and for each of those both an APY and a lower interest rate. A Boosted, promotional or limited-time rate does NOT count, and neither does the interest rate fig

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** X Money APY at end of 2026
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** December 31, 2026

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. X publishes a Standard and a Boosted rate for each subscription tier, and for each of those both an APY and a lower interest rate. A Boosted, promotional or limited-time rate does NOT count, and neither does the interest rate fig

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 6.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $757
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

X Money APY at end of 2026

Volume$2.42K

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.5¢No 8.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and

KALSHI

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 4.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and

KALSHI

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.5¢No 14.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 5.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and

KALSHI

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 5.50%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and

KALSHI

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 41.5¢No 58.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

If the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, as published on X Money's Stored Value Account Rates page, is at least 6.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: X publishes a Standard and

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Average Yes Price

65¢

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X Money APY at end of 2026

X Money APY at end of 2026

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Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

X Money APY at end of 2026

Markets (6)

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

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Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

X Money APY at end of 2026

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 4.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 5.50%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

Will the Standard Annual Percentage Yield for the X Premium+ Tier on an X Money Stored Value Account in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 be at least 6.00%?

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