Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Total Volume

$3.58K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Vol

$3.58K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.58K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.58K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	22%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	19%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	12%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	7%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	7%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	4%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

22%

Top Probability

$3.58K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

SC If X wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** SC

If X wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wes Moore wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $160
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will James Talarico win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $77
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Volume$3.58K

Markets15

15 of 15

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

If Kamala Harris wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will c

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.0¢No 81.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

If Jon Ossoff wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will clos

KALSHI

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

If Gavin Newsom wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will cl

KALSHI

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

If Wes Moore wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will close

KALSHI

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

If Rahm Emanuel wins the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details. Early close condition: This market will cl

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/-ww7k3" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Markets (15)

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

2028 South Carolina Democratic primary winner?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 South Carolina Democratic primary?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget