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MARQ at DEP (Jan 16) If X wins the Marquette at DePaul men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Marquette at DePaul men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished, within two weeks. If the cancelled game is not played or is rescheduled further tha
Prediction markets are pricing in a decisive advantage for the Marquette Golden Eagles in their upcoming Big East conference road game against the DePaul Blue Demons. The market "Marquette at DePaul Winner? (DePaul)" is trading at just 67% on Kalshi, implying a 33% implied probability that DePaul pulls off the upset. Conversely, this indicates the market assigns approximately a 67% chance that Marquette wins. This probability suggests the market views a Marquette victory as the clear, expected outcome, but accounts for the inherent volatility of a road conference game.
Two primary factors are shaping these odds. First, the stark performance disparity between the programs is overwhelming. Marquette, under coach Shaka Smart, has been a consistent Top 25 team and a perennial NCAA Tournament contender, known for its high-pressure defense and efficient offense. DePaul, in contrast, has struggled profoundly in recent seasons, often finishing at the bottom of the Big East standings. Second, historical dominance plays a role. Marquette has won the vast majority of recent head-to-head matchups, often by wide margins, reinforcing a powerful narrative of one-sided competition. The market is fundamentally pricing in a talent and system gap that is difficult to overcome.
The primary catalyst for a shift in these odds would be significant player availability news closer to the January 16 tip-off. An injury to a key Marquette star could rapidly narrow the spread. Conversely, a surprise early-season surge from DePaul, demonstrating tangible improvement under their new coaching staff, could increase their market probability. The current odds leave room for movement based on the non-conference performance of both teams in the months leading up to this game. A series of strong DePaul wins or unexpected Marquette losses in November and December would be monitored closely by the market, potentially driving DePaul's win probability above its current 33% level.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
2 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Marquette at DePaul Winner? (DePaul) | Kalshi | 67% |
Marquette at DePaul Winner? (Marquette) | Kalshi | 36% |
$1.10K
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This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of a men's college basketball game between Marquette University and DePaul University, originally scheduled for January 16, 2026. The market resolves based on which team wins the contest, with specific provisions for postponement or cancellation. This game is a conference matchup within the Big East Conference, a premier league in NCAA Division I basketball known for its intense rivalries and high-level competition. The specific date places it in the heart of the conference season, where outcomes significantly impact postseason tournament seeding and NCAA Tournament aspirations. Interest in this market stems from the historical rivalry between the two programs, their contrasting recent trajectories, and the broader implications for the Big East standings. Bettors and fans follow such games not only for the immediate result but also for insights into team performance, coaching strategies, and player development as the season progresses toward March Madness. The market's structure, which accommodates schedule changes, reflects the practical realities of college sports where weather, health protocols, or other factors can lead to postponements, ensuring the prediction remains valid for the actual played contest.
The basketball series between Marquette and DePaul dates back decades, with the first recorded meeting in the 1917-18 season. Both schools are located in the Midwest, with Marquette in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and DePaul in Chicago, Illinois, fostering a natural regional rivalry. For much of the late 20th century, both programs were independent or members of various conferences before finding a shared home in the original Big East Conference in 2005. This period intensified their matchups. Historically, Marquette has held a significant advantage in the series. For instance, entering the 2023-24 season, Marquette led the all-time series 79-46. Marquette also boasts a stronger modern tournament pedigree, winning an NCAA National Championship in 1977 and making frequent tournament appearances in the 2000s and 2010s under coaches like Tom Crean and Buzz Williams. In contrast, DePaul's last NCAA Tournament victory came in 1989, and the program has struggled to regain consistent prominence, often finishing in the lower half of the Big East standings since the conference's 2013 reconfiguration. This historical disparity sets the backdrop for any meeting, with Marquette typically favored and DePaul often cast in the role of an upset-minded rival seeking to shift the narrative.
Beyond the final score, this game matters for the financial and reputational ecosystem of college athletics. A win, especially for DePaul, can boost ticket sales, alumni engagement, and recruiting prospects, directly impacting a program's revenue and long-term viability. For the Big East Conference, competitive balance is crucial for maintaining lucrative media rights deals; lopsided standings can diminish viewer interest, while compelling rivalries enhance it. The outcome also has tangible consequences for the players and universities. A victory contributes to a team's 'Quadrant' resume, a metric used by the NCAA Tournament selection committee. A strong resume can mean the difference between making the NCAA Tournament or the NIT, which carries significant prestige, exposure, and revenue distribution for the conference and school. For student-athletes, performance in high-stakes conference games shapes professional prospects and legacies. At a broader level, games like these are cultural events for the campuses and local communities, reinforcing school spirit and identity.
As of late 2024, the specific rosters and exact conditions for the January 2026 game are unknown, as they depend on recruiting, transfers, and player development over the next two seasons. However, the structural context is set. Marquette is established as a perennial Big East contender and likely preseason Top 25 team for the 2025-26 season, based on its recent success. DePaul is in a transitional phase following the dismissal of head coach Tony Stubblefield after the 2023-24 season. The program's trajectory under new leadership will be a major storyline leading into this game. The official schedule for the 2025-26 Big East conference season, including the exact date and time for this matchup, will be released in the summer of 2025.
The game is scheduled as a DePaul home game. It will be played at Wintrust Arena, located in Chicago, Illinois, which has been DePaul's home court since 2017.
According to the market rules, if the game is postponed or delayed, the prediction market will remain open and resolve based on the outcome of the rescheduled game, provided it is played within two weeks of the original date. If rescheduled further out, specific market rules would apply.
Big East Conference games are primarily broadcast on the Fox Sports family of networks (FS1, FOX) or the CBS Sports Network. The specific channel and time for this 2026 game will be announced closer to the date during the 2025-26 season schedule release.
Based on recent program performance, Marquette would be the strong favorite. However, the actual point spread for a game in January 2026 will be set by sportsbooks closer to the date, factoring in that season's rosters, injuries, and performance.
The rivalry is one of the oldest in college basketball, first played in 1918. Marquette holds a commanding all-time series lead. Both schools were founding members of the reconstituted Big East in 2013, ensuring they play annually.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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