Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Name: Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
End: 2028-09-24T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$33.27K

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Markets

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Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Vol

$33.27K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $33.27K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $33.27K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	36%
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	23%
Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	14%
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	6%
Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	1%
Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$33.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minis

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 24, 2028 (710 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minis

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will imm"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $85.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.39)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $25.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $491
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $391
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 24, 2028): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Volume$33.27K

Markets6

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POLYMARKET

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will imm

POLYMARKET

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.1¢No 93.9¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 1.1¢No 99.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

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Next Market Deadline

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Sep 24, 2028, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/03GC_p" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Prime Minister of Australia after next election?"></iframe>

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Prime Minister of Australia after next election?