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Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Name: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
End: 2028-09-23T18:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$17.34K

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Markets

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Vol

$17.34K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $17.34K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.34K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	40%
Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	23%
Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	21%
Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	6%
Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	1%
Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$17.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minis

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? 
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 23, 2028 (749 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minis

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will imm"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $48.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $12.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Larissa Waters be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $487
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $391
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 23, 2028): Vol $820
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Volume$17.34K

Markets6

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POLYMARKET

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will imm

POLYMARKET

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 22.5¢No 77.5¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Jim Chalmers be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 1.2¢No 98.8¢

POLYMARKETWorld

Will Robbie Katter be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

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Next Market Closes

748d 19h remaining

Sep 23, 2028 6:00 PM

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15¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/03GC_p" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? "></iframe>

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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?