Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Erling Haaland: Next Club

Total Volume

$7.74K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Erling Haaland: Next Club

Vol

$7.74K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.74K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.74K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

16 markets tracked

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(16)

Market	Platform	Price
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)	Kalshi	56%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)	Kalshi	10%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)	Kalshi	6%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)	Kalshi	4%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)	Kalshi	4%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Borussia Dortmund)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Tottenham)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester United)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Inter Milan)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Chelsea)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Bayern Munich)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Atletico Madrid)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (AC Milan)	Kalshi	3%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Newcastle United)	Kalshi	2%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Liverpool)	Kalshi	2%
Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Juventus)	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$7.74K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Erling Haaland If Erling Haaland's next club is X before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Erling Haaland: Next Club
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Erling Haaland

If Erling Haaland's next club is X before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Erling Haaland's next club is Newcastle United before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details
The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Newcastle United, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent.  
If Erling Haaland signs with"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Newcastle United)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Borussia Dortmund)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Tottenham)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester United)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $192
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Liverpool)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Juventus)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Inter Milan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Chelsea)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Bayern Munich)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Atletico Madrid)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $117
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Where will Erling Haaland go next? (AC Milan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Erling Haaland: Next Club

Erling Haaland If Erling Haaland's next club is X before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$7.74K

Markets16

16 of 16

Sort:

KALSHI

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 55.5¢No 44.5¢

KALSHIOther

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

If Erling Haaland's next club is Manchester City before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Manchester City, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a

KALSHI

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIOther

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

If Erling Haaland's next club is Barcelona before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Barcelona, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club and is

KALSHI

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

If Erling Haaland's next club is Real Madrid before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Real Madrid, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club an

KALSHI

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIOther

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

If Erling Haaland's next club is PSG before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join PSG, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club and is immediately

KALSHI

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 3.5¢No 96.5¢

KALSHIOther

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

If Erling Haaland's next club is Arsenal before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Erling Haaland signs a contract to join Arsenal, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Erling Haaland signs with a club and is imm

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6¢

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Erling Haaland: Next Club

Erling Haaland: Next Club

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Erling Haaland: Next Club

Markets (16)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Erling Haaland: Next Club

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Manchester City)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Barcelona)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Real Madrid)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (PSG)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

Where will Erling Haaland go next? (Arsenal)

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