Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

Name: EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?
End: 2027-05-31T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$211.96

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

Vol

$211.96

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $211.96

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $211.96

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	50%
Will David Moyes be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	48%
Will Matthias Jaissle be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	45%
Will Marco Rose be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Xabi Alonso be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Gary O'Neil be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Michael Carrick be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	35%
Will Alvaro Arbeloa be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	27%
Will Unai Emery be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	24%
Will Roberto De Zerbi be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	23%
Will Oliver Glasner be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	22%
Will Regis Le Bris be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	22%
Will Frank Lampard be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	17%
Will Pierre Sage be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	17%
Will Sergej Jakirovic be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	17%
Will Enzo Maresca be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	17%
Will Andoni Iraola be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	4%
Will Daniel Farke be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	3%
Will Keith Andrews be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	3%
Will Mikel Arteta be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$211.96

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutual

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2027 (232 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season.

If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time.

If a manager resigns, mutual

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season.

If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $212
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.02)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mikel Arteta be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Unai Emery be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Fabian Hurzeler be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 49.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Marco Rose be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Keith Andrews be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Xabi Alonso be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Frank Lampard be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Pierre Sage be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will David Moyes be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 48.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Alvaro Arbeloa be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Sergej Jakirovic be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gary O'Neil be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Daniel Farke be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Andoni Iraola be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Enzo Maresca be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Michael Carrick be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Matthias Jaissle be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Oliver Glasner be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Regis Le Bris be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Roberto De Zerbi be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2027): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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