Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Name: Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.36K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?

Vol

$1.36K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.36K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.36K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?	Poly	49%
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$1.36K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No". If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by...?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No".

If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevant market to resolve to "Yes". Temporary additions (e.g., for testing) that are reversed within 48 hours will not count. If Cobblestone is added after the deadline, the relevant market will resolve to 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve adds the map Cobblestone to the official map pool by the listed date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No".

If Cobblestone is added to the Active Duty pool, it must remain there continuously for at least 48 hours for the relevan"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $310
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.40)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $776
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by December 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $586
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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