Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Name: Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC
End: 2026-10-24T11:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$176.29

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Vol

$176.29

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $176.29

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $176.29

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Poly	60%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Poly	22%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$176.29

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 24, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026
If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up gam"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $176
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 24, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.

Volume$176.29

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up

POLYMARKET

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up

POLYMARKET

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 18.5¢No 81.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 24, 2026 If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up gam

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Oct 24, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/08-wnj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC"></iframe>

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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

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Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Markets (3)

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

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Discussion

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Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?

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Discussion

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