Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

Name: Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?
End: 2026-01-16T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.07K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.07K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.07K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$2.07K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is lower than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 16, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is lower than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a market on

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Friday, January 16, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Ind"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 16, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Up: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Down: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Next Market Closes

7h 34mremaining

Jan 16, 2026 9:00 PM

Ending Soon

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

0¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/08sVcH" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 16?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)