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Event GroupKALSHISports

Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

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Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

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12 markets tracked

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Lamine Yamal: score or assist?	Kalshi	53%
Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?	Kalshi	50%
Dani Olmo: score or assist?	Kalshi	35%
Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?	Kalshi	24%
Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?	Kalshi	23%
Leandro Trossard: score or assist?	Kalshi	23%
Charles De Ketelaere: score or assist?	Kalshi	20%
Pedri: score or assist?	Kalshi	17%
Marc Cucurella: score or assist?	Kalshi	15%
Youri Tielemans: score or assist?	Kalshi	14%
Rodri: score or assist?	Kalshi	12%
Jeremy Doku: score or assist?	Kalshi	12%

AI Analysis

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53%

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$0.00

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About This Event

ESP vs BEL (Jul 10) If X records a goal or assist during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. If a player is active but ne

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ESP vs BEL (Jul 10)

If X records a goal or assist during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026. If a player is active but ne

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rodri records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Rodri: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Pedri: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Marc Cucurella: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Lamine Yamal: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Dani Olmo: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Youri Tielemans: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Leandro Trossard: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Jeremy Doku: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Charles De Ketelaere: score or assist?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

Volume$0.00

Markets12

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KALSHI

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

KALSHISports

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

If Lamine Yamal records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a

KALSHI

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

If Mikel Oyarzabal records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

KALSHI

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

KALSHISports

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

If Dani Olmo records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a pla

KALSHI

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

If Romelu Lukaku records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a

KALSHI

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHISports

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

If Kevin De Bruyne records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Spain vs Belgium professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

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Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

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Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

Markets (12)

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

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Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

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Spain vs Belgium: Score or Assist

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

Lamine Yamal: score or assist?

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

Mikel Oyarzabal: score or assist?

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

Dani Olmo: score or assist?

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

Romelu Lukaku: score or assist?

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

Kevin De Bruyne: score or assist?

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