Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Cleveland Monsters
Total Volume
$22.23
Events
1
Markets
1
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Cleveland Monsters
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $22.23
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $22.23
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
AHL: Utica Comets vs. Cleveland Monsters
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 46% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
46%
Top Probability
$22.23
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for March 29 at 3:00PM ET: If Utica Comets win, the market will resolve to "Utica Comets". If Cleveland Monsters win, the market will resolve to "Cleveland Monsters". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets see this American Hockey League game as essentially a coin flip. The Utica Comets are given a 49% chance to win, which means traders collectively believe the outcome is nearly 50/50. You could say there's roughly a 1 in 2 chance for either team. This level of uncertainty is common for closely matched minor league hockey games where neither side has a clear advantage.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
Two main factors explain the even odds. First, the teams have similar records. The Cleveland Monsters and Utica Comets are both fighting for playoff positioning in the AHL's North Division, so their competitive level is comparable. Second, the game is in Cleveland. Home ice typically offers a small advantage in hockey, but the market isn't giving the Monsters a major edge here, suggesting the teams are seen as evenly skilled on paper. The AHL is the primary development league for the NHL, so lineup changes based on recent NHL call-ups or injuries can quickly alter a team's strength, adding to the uncertainty.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The key event is the game itself on Thursday, March 28, at 7:00 PM ET. The main factor that could shift predictions before the puck drops is the release of the starting lineups, especially the named goaltenders. In hockey, a hot goalie can single-handedly sway a game. Any last-minute news about key players being recalled to the parent NHL clubs (the Columbus Blue Jackets for Cleveland and the New Jersey Devils for Utica) would also immediately change the perceived odds.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular season games in niche sports like the AHL, prediction markets can be a decent gauge of team strength, but they come with caveats. The trading volume on this specific market is very low, which means the odds might be less stable and more sensitive to a single large bet than a high-volume market. Broadly, markets are good at aggregating available public information on matchups. However, for minor leagues, unexpected roster moves or simply a bad bounce of the puck can easily upset the expected 50/50 outcome.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market for the AHL matchup between the Utica Comets and Cleveland Monsters shows a near-even split. On Polymarket, the "Utica Comets" contract trades at 49¢, implying a 49% probability they win the game. The "Cleveland Monsters" contract is therefore priced at 51¢, reflecting a 51% chance. This pricing indicates the market views the game as a virtual coin flip, with a slight, almost negligible edge to the home team. With only $0 in volume reported, this is a highly illiquid market where the current price may not reflect a deep consensus.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The tight odds align with the competitive nature of the AHL's North Division and the specific circumstances of this game. As of late March, teams are typically battling for playoff positioning, which often leads to closely contested games. The Cleveland Monsters, the AHL affiliate of the NHL's Columbus Blue Jackets, likely hold home-ice advantage for this contest, which is a standard factor baked into the slight price favoritism. The Utica Comets, affiliated with the New Jersey Devils, are a perennial contender, and their presence typically negates any significant betting line. The thin market volume suggests this is a speculative price based more on general league parity than a detailed analysis of recent form, injuries, or goaltending matchups.
What Could Change These Odds
Any concrete team news released before puck drop on March 28 could shift these probabilities. The most direct catalyst would be an official announcement regarding key player assignments from the NHL parent clubs. A last-minute recall of a top scorer or starting goaltender from Cleveland or Utica would immediately alter the game's expected outcome. Similarly, confirmation of a key player returning from injury for either side could move the line. Without such news, the market may remain static due to its low liquidity. Bettors with strong convictions about one team's recent performance or tactical advantage might find opportunity here, as the current price offers little premium for the perceived favorite.
Cross-Platform Analysis
This market is trading exclusively on Polymarket. There is no comparable contract on Kalshi or other major platforms, so no arbitrage opportunity exists. The lack of a competing market underscores the niche status of AHL-specific prediction markets. All trading interest and price discovery for this event is confined to this single, low-volume Polymarket contract.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.