Name: Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
End: 2026-02-03T19:45:00.000Z

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?	Poly	64%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?	Poly	21%
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?	Poly	18%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 3, 2026 (19 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026 between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli 1910.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 3, 2026
If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-u"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

18d 7h remaining

Feb 03, 2026 7:45 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910

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Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910

Markets (3)

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?

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Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-03?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-03?

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