Los Angeles mayor matchup | PredictPedia

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10 markets tracked

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	56%
Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	16%
Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	14%
Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	7%
Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	7%
Will Nithya Raman and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Spencer Pratt and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Nithya Raman and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Adam Miller and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Spencer Pratt and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?	Kalshi	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Los Angeles mayor matchup
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Jun 2026

If X advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: X conditions must be satisfied for the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary. This market will close and expire early if any

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Spencer Pratt and Rae Huang advance in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the enti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Spencer Pratt and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Spencer Pratt and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nithya Raman and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nithya Raman and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Adam Miller and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 9, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

11¢

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Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

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Events (1)

Los Angeles mayor matchup

Markets (10)

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Los Angeles mayor matchup

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Karen Bass be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Nithya Raman and Spencer Pratt be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Rae Huang be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Will Karen Bass and Adam Miller be the nominees in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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