Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Total Volume

$2.41K

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Markets

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Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Vol

$2.41K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.41K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.41K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%
San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$2.41K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Week of Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026 If there is at least X or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved X day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KSAN from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days wi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Week of Oct 5 – Oct 11, 2026

If there is at least X or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved X day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KSAN from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days wi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
A day's average temperatu"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $453
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $196
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Volume$2.41K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 6 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average temperatu

KALSHI

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 5 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average temperatu

KALSHI

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average temperatu

KALSHI

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 3 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average temperatu

KALSHI

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIClimate

CLOSING SOON

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

If there is at least 2 or more consecutive days within October 5, 2026 through October 11, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KSAN in San Diego is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved A day's average temperatu

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1¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0KwKLK" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026"></iframe>

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Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

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San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

Markets (5)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

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San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Consecutive days of average temperature in San Diego above 90°F - week of Oct 5, 2026

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (6+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (5+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (4+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (3+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

San Diego · Consecutive days with avg temperature above 90°F (Week of Oct 5) (2+ consecutive days)

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