
Ligue 1 Champion
PM $845.2K · K 87.7K contracts
5
90
Ligue 1 Champion

PM $845.2K · K 87.7K contracts
5
90
Polymarket vs Kalshi
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, PSG is priced at 88.5% on Polymarket and 88% on Kalshi.
| Outcome (Yes price) | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSGSame question, fine print differs | 88.5% | 88% | 0.5 pts |
| TroyesSame question, fine print differs | <0.1% | 4.5% | 4.5 pts |
| MonacoSame question, fine print differs | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.1 pts |
| LilleSame question, fine print differs | 2.5% | 2% | 0.5 pts |
| RennesSame question, fine print differs | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7 pts |
| LyonSame question, fine print differs | 1.5% | 2% | 0.5 pts |
| LensSame question, fine print differs | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.4 pts |
| MarseilleSame question, fine print differs | 1.3% | 1% | 0.3 pts |
Yes prices for outcomes an automated review found to ask the same question on both platforms. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $845.2K · K 87.7K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
90
Saved contracts
17
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
2026-27 Season If X is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Ligue 1 Champion" covers the 2026-27 season. Its rule states: "If X is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] Each team-specific market asks whether that team will win, so a Yes outcome on one contract is not a comparison with the others in the same event. The source also says the market "will close and expire after a title holder is declared." [1] Closing and resolution therefore depend on that declaration, not on a fixed date alone.
Each listed market shows an end date of 2027-06-13T02:00:00.000Z. [1] The source excerpt separately states "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] Treat the end date in the market data as a platform field, and note that the excerpt does not confirm it as an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z, and the material was retrieved at 2026-11-01T06:52:31.203Z. [1] These are snapshots from that window, not current or executable quotes.
The sample is partial. The saved event has 18 markets, and 12 are included. [1] The included markets were chosen by highest finite Yes price, so the omitted six are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Within the sample, PSG has the highest listed Yes price at 0.865, with Monaco at 0.065 and Stade Rennes at 0.025. [1] Several teams sit at 0.02 or below, and several at 0.005. [1] Because the sample is cut by price rank, these figures show only the included contracts.
The Yes and No prices for each market sum to 1.00 in the supplied data. [1] Volume and trader counts are not included in this snapshot, so the prices say nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why any price is where it is. It does not show spreads, order book depth, or whether a trade could be made at these levels. Prices are not verified probabilities of any team winning. The excerpt also does not state a listed end time, so the closing schedule beyond the supplied date field is unknown. Kalshi's disclaimer notes that it "is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League." [1] Differences in prices across platforms or events should not be read as arbitrage without matching contract terms and current quotes.
References
- Kalshi: Ligue 1 Champion. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
PredictPedia's Ligue 1 Champion contract is tied to the 2026-27 edition of France's top professional football league. Ligue 1, formerly known as Division 1 from 1933 to 2002, is the highest level of the French football league system [3]. It is administered by the Ligue de Football Professionnel, contested by 18 clubs, and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with Ligue 2 [3]. Seasons run from August to May [3]. The French football champions are the winners of this highest league, and the professional championship has been contested through Ligue 1 since the National Council of the French Football Federation voted in support of professionalism in 1930 [2]. The contract concerns only the title for the 2026-27 season, not the wider league table or any other competition. The market is listed on Kalshi under the event title Ligue 1 Champion, with the 2026-27 Season named in the contract [1]. The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or officially connected to the governing league, and that trademarks belong to their respective owners [1].
Historical Context
The French football champions are the winners of the highest league of football in France, Ligue 1 [2]. Professional football in France was placed on a formal footing when the National Council of the French Football Federation voted in support of professionalism in 1930, after which the professional championship has been contested through Ligue 1, which was formerly known as Division 1 from 1933 to 2002 [2].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: whether a named club wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 title. The contract states that if X is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Each club-specific market in the saved event asks whether that club will win the title, so each contract resolves independently based on the declared champion [1]. Because the title is decided at the end of a season that runs from August to May [3], the contract's resolution depends on the league's final outcome rather than on any interim standings. The prices shown for each club are snapshots of Yes and No contracts at a moment in time. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities. The saved event includes 18 markets in total, and 12 are included in the sample, selected by Yes price. The omitted markets are not shown and should not be read as having any particular price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What outcome makes a Ligue 1 Champion market resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the club named in the contract is the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 champion [1].
When does the market close?
The contract states that the market will close and expire after a title holder is declared [1]. The provider listing does not supply an end time [1]. The saved market records include an end date of June 13, 2027, but that is a contract field and not an announced date for when the title will be decided.
Does a market price show the true chance that a club wins?
No. The prices are snapshots of contract prices. They are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities, so they should not be read as confirmed chances of winning the title.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
1
Same-question pairs
17
Largest saved gap: 4.5 percentage points.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
