Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Name: Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
End: 2027-03-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$39.93K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

Vol

$39.93K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $39.93K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $39.93K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?	Poly	41%
Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	13%
Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	12%
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	11%
Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	10%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	10%
Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	5%
Will Oded Forer be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	4%
Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	1%
Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	1%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$39.93K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying indiv

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 1, 2027 (141 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.

To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying indiv

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.

To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government o"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $39.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $273.9K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.15)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $892
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $720
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $995
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ofir Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Orit Farkash-Hacohen be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Oded Forer be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tally Gotliv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 1, 2027): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETWorld