Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Name: Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.92K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Vol

$6.92K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.92K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.92K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?	Poly	53%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?	Poly	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$6.92K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the par

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (24 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the par

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any name"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $54.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.13)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics