Name: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg
End: 2026-02-06T17:30:00.000Z

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?	Poly	92%
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	Poly	7%
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?	Poly	2%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Friday, February 6, 2026 between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 6, 2026
If SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $26.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.99)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 6, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 6, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 6, 2026): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

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Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

Markets (3)

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?

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Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-02-06?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?

Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-02-06?

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