Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Total Volume

$431.20

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Vol

$431.20

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $431.20

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $431.20

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	29%
Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	13%
Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?	Kalshi	11%
Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

29%

Top Probability

$431.20

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

ATM vs MUN (Oct 13) If Manchester United wins by more than X goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective ow

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ATM vs MUN (Oct 13)

If Manchester United wins by more than X goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective ow

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kals"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $431
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Volume$431.20

Markets4

4 of 4

Sort:

KALSHI

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 13.0¢No 87.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

If Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kals

KALSHI

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

If Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kals

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

14¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0fYz8r" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Markets (4)

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Atletico vs Manchester United: Spread

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Atletico wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Manchester United wins by more than 2.5 goals?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget