Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Total Volume

$230.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Vol

$230.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $230.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $230.00

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	51%
Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform Cloud 9 at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform Beautiful Things at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform Am I Okay? at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform 6 Months Later at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	50%
Will Megan Moroney perform Wish I Didn’t at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	29%
Will Megan Moroney perform Miss Universe at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	25%
Will Megan Moroney perform The Girls at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?	Kalshi	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$230.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Megan Moroney | 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show If Megan Moroney performs X Y 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song live, or play an instrument performing the recognizable melody, riff, or musical structure of the song live. Pre-recorded audio or video playback without simultaneous live contri

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Megan Moroney | 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show

If Megan Moroney performs X Y 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. X performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song live, or play an instrument performing the recognizable melody, riff, or musical structure of the song live. Pre-recorded audio or video playback without simultaneous live contri

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Megan Moroney performs 'Wish I Didn’t' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $230
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Megan Moroney perform Wish I Didn’t at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Megan Moroney perform Miss Universe at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Megan Moroney perform The Girls at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Megan Moroney perform Cloud 9 at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Megan Moroney perform Beautiful Things at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Megan Moroney perform Am I Okay? at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Megan Moroney perform 6 Months Later at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Volume$230.00

Markets12

12 of 12

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KALSHI

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

If Megan Moroney performs 'Tennessee Orange' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from t

KALSHI

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

If Megan Moroney performs 'Stupid' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song li

KALSHI

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

If Megan Moroney performs 'No Caller ID' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the s

KALSHI

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

If Megan Moroney performs 'Medicine' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the song

KALSHI

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

If Megan Moroney performs 'I'm Not Pretty' at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show before Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A performance requires the performer to be physically present on stage and either sing, rap, or vocalize recognizable lyrics or melody from the

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44¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0fg4vR" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show"></iframe>

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Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Markets (12)

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Megan Moroney · Songs performed at the Victoria’s Secret Fashion Show

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Tennessee Orange at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Stupid at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform No Caller ID at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform Medicine at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Will Megan Moroney perform I'm Not Pretty at the 2026 Victoria's Secret Fashion Show?

Related News & Context

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