Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

Name: Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
End: 2026-12-31T18:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.51M

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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

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Polymarket

markets · $1.51M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.51M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?	Poly	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$1.51M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (351 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Russia within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia's president, Vladimir Putin, is removed from power for any length of time between July 6, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

President Vladimir Putin will be considered to be removed from power if he res"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.51M
* **Total Liquidity:** $93.0K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 16.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.51M
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

350d 11h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 6:30 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

9¢

Polymarket

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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

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Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)