Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

Name: Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?
End: 2026-01-29T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$219.00

Events

Markets

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Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $219.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $219.00

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?	Poly	66%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

66%

Top Probability

$219.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 29, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is lower than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

E.g., ordinarily, a marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Up" if the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for Nikkei 225 (NIK) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 is higher than the official Nikkei 225 Index closing price for NIK on the most recent prior trading day.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the official Nikkei 225 I"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $219
* **Total Liquidity:** $41
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 5.29)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 29, 2026): Vol $219
  DATA: [Up: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [Down: 34.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

66¢

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Arbitrage Opps

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Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

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Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 29?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)