Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

Name: Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.87K

Events

Markets

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Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

Vol

$8.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Poly	63%
Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$8.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (24 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the numb"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $39.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Democrats win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics