Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

Total Volume

$1.89K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

Vol

$1.89K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.89K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.89K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)	Kalshi	92%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)	Kalshi	85%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)	Kalshi	69%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)	Kalshi	57%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)	Kalshi	44%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $275,000)	Kalshi	28%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $300,000)	Kalshi	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

92%

Top Probability

$1.89K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2028 If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster, second generation, by Tesla, Inc. is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market listing, before tax and without discounts or promotions. Reservation deposits are not the MSRP. The contract’s source hierarchy and contingency provisions apply. This market will close and expire early if the eve

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2028

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster, second generation, by Tesla, Inc. is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market listing, before tax and without discounts or promotions. Reservation deposits are not the MSRP. The contract’s source hierarchy and contingency provisions apply. This market will close and expire early if the eve

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $300000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $300,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $275,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $206
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

Volume$1.89K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.0¢No 8.0¢

KALSHITech

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $150000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l

KALSHI

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHITech

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $175000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l

KALSHI

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHITech

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $200000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l

KALSHI

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHITech

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $225000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l

KALSHI

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 44.5¢No 55.5¢

KALSHITech

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

If the first price announced for Tesla Roadster (second generation) by Tesla, Inc. is at least $250000, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The product is the base model of the next-generation Tesla Roadster. The qualifying price is the first U.S. MSRP announced by Tesla after market l

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

57¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/0ulYkD" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

Markets (7)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $225,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $250,000)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget