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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?

Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by...?
Vol

PM $1.0K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is April 30, 2027 at 35.5%.

Polymarket

  1. April 30, 202735.5%
  2. December 31, 202616.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.0K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any live, in-person demonstration or event held by Tesla, a version of the Roadster (including a prototype or other non-final version) that is physically present performs any maneuver in which the vehicle is in motion and its cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or other similar onboard propulsion or ground-sealing system are activated and in use, in any capacity, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The vehicle does not need to become airborne, reach any particular speed, or achieve any specific outcome for this market to resolve "Yes" — any live use of the cold gas thrusters, fan/suction system, or similar system while the car is moving (e.g., to jump, spin, hover, lift, drift, or otherwise maneuver) qualifies, regardless of how minor or brief. The primary resolution source for this market will be video of the qualifying event, including any official Tesla livestream. Official Tesla statements or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market, provided they establish that a live demonstration met the conditions above.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?

K 6.7K contracts
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $175,000)Yes 96%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $150,000)Yes 93%
How much will Tesla Roadster (second generation) cost? (At least $200,000)Yes 92.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC
PolymarketTech
Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

Tesla Roadster delivered by...?

PM $9.7K
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?Yes 9%
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.3%
2 mktsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiTech
Tesla Roadster delivery

Tesla Roadster delivery

K 105.4K contracts
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2029)Yes 52%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before July, 2028)Yes 31%
Tesla Roadsters delivered before 2026? (Before 2028)Yes 11.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)

What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)

PM $196.25
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?Yes 95%
Will Elon post "Roadster" on X this week?Yes 72.5%
Will Elon post "Rocket" on X this week?Yes 67.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiWorld
Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform

Lollapalooza Chicago 2027: Who will perform

K 5.4K contracts
Will Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 77%
Will Ella Langley perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 45.5%
Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?Yes 40.5%
+130 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2028 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

Who Will Perform at Red Rocks in 2027?

K 325.4K contracts
Will Widespread Panic perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 89.5%
Will The String Cheese Incident perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
Will The Avett Brothers perform at Red Rocks Park & Amphitheatre in 2027?Yes 88.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2028 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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