Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET" [1]. According to the saved excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The reference is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the excerpt states that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].

The listed end time is 2026-10-30T07:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, which is distinct from the time the market resolves. The excerpt does not state a resolution timestamp, so this snapshot cannot confirm how or when the outcome will be recorded.

Reading the snapshot

The saved observation was taken at 2026-10-29T15:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T17:43:29Z [1]. These are provider and retrieval times, not live quotes. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1].

The recorded prices are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. Read as a snapshot, the two outcomes were priced equally at that moment. These are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the saved data does not include volume or order book depth, so it says nothing about liquidity.

Coverage is complete for this event: one market was saved, one was included, and the sample is not partial [1]. There is no other market in the evidence to compare against, so no cross-platform or cross-contract comparison is possible.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the price level of ZEC/USD during the window, the beginning price, or the eventual TWAP. It also does not explain why the two prices were equal. The snapshot is roughly a few hours before the listed end time, and nothing in the evidence reports later prices.

Because the title describes a five-minute window and the rules compare a TWAP to a starting price, a reader should check the exact wording and listed times before relying on any comparison of contracts with different windows or data sources.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z.