ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This record covers one Polymarket market, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET" [1]. The source states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the source specifies that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's closing time, not evidence of a resolution. The record does not show a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record was observed at 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z and retrieved at 2026-10-29T17:43:51.394Z [1]. These are different timestamps, and both describe a past capture rather than live conditions. The saved outcomes are "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is complete for this saved event. It contains one market, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. The record does not show trading volume, depth, or the number of participants, so no statement about liquidity or agreement is supported.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain the prices, and it does not show any price movement after the observation time. It also does not include a second platform, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The source notes that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because this is a binary Up or Down contract, that caveat is less about omitted outcomes here and more about the limits of a single saved snapshot.
Readers comparing this contract with similar time-window markets should check the exact wording of the TWAP rule, the data stream, and the listed end time for each contract. Differences in those details can change what a contract measures, so different-looking prices should not be treated as an arbitrage signal without that comparison.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T15:00:06.250Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term Polymarket contract on the ZCash price, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET" and listed in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether ZEC/USD will finish a five-minute window at or above where it started. According to the market rules, the contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not according to any other source or spot market [1]. This matters because a price on another exchange or data feed could differ from the figure used for settlement. The contract therefore measures one specific reference, not the general market price of ZCash. The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:00:00Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time under its rules. It is not evidence that the contract has settled, and the supplied material does not record a resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a short window rather than a price level. A "Up" outcome requires the Chainlink TWAP across the stated interval to finish at or above the starting price, so a small move in either direction decides the result [1]. Because the reference is a time-weighted average from one named data stream, the outcome depends on how that stream averages prices over the interval, not only on the opening and closing prints. Readers should treat the contract as a rule-based question about one feed. Its listed prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which price source is used for settlement?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say other sources or spot markets do not count [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T05:00:00Z, which the provider records as the contract's end time [1]. This is a contract rule, not a report that the contract has already settled.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.