Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?

Name: What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
End: 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$555.28

Events

Markets

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What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?

Vol

$555.28

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $555.28

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $555.28

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his next livestream?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his next livestream?	Poly	87%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during his next livestream?	Poly	76%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Community" during his next livestream?	Poly	74%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "School" during his next livestream?	Poly	74%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Family" during his next livestream?	Poly	74%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?	Poly	51%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Health" during his next livestream?	Poly	51%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his next livestream?	Poly	49%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his next livestream?	Poly	47%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?	Poly	27%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "NYPD" during his next livestream?	Poly	27%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?	Poly	27%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?	Poly	26%
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?	Poly	15%
Will the announcement not happen?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

87%

Top Probability

$555.28

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (20 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".


**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $555
* **Total Liquidity:** $850
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.65)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Safe" or "Safer" or "Safety" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Zohran Mamdani say "NYPD" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Billionaire" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Community" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Budget" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Zohran Mamdani say "School" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Health" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Zohran Mamdani say "Family" during his next livestream?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the announcement not happen?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $304
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture