Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Gea vs Mensik

Total Volume

$2.15K

Events

Markets

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Gea vs Mensik

Vol

$2.15K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.15K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.15K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Jakub Mensik wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Jakub Mensik wins	Kalshi	63%
Arthur Gea wins	Kalshi	37%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$2.15K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Gea vs Mensik (Oct 11) If X wins the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gea vs Mensik
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Gea vs Mensik (Oct 11)

If X wins the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur, signaled by a ball being played, due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation, all before the match starts, the market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jakub Mensik wins the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Jakub Mensik wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Arthur Gea wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Gea vs Mensik

Volume$2.15K

Markets2

2 of 2

Sort:

KALSHI

Jakub Mensik wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 62.5¢No 37.5¢

KALSHISports

Jakub Mensik wins

If Jakub Mensik wins the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after

KALSHI

Arthur Gea wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHISports

Arthur Gea wins

If Arthur Gea wins the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gea vs Mensik professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 16 after a

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/14ozPn" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gea vs Mensik"></iframe>

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Events (1)

Gea vs Mensik

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Jakub Mensik wins

Jakub Mensik wins

Arthur Gea wins

Arthur Gea wins

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Gea vs Mensik

Jakub Mensik wins

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