Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Name: South Dakota vs. Murray State
End: 2026-10-17T21:00:00.000Z

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South Dakota vs. Murray State

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markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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20 markets tracked

South Dakota vs. Murray State

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Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
South Dakota vs. Murray State	Poly	83%
Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: South Dakota (-3.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: South Dakota (-1.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-1.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-7.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-10.5)	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 49.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 51.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 53.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 55.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 57.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 59.5	Poly	50%
South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 61.5	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-3.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-5.5)	Poly	50%
Spread: Murray State (-14.5)	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

In the upcoming college football game between South Dakota and Murray State, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game. This market will resolve to "Murray State" if Murray State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Dakota vs. Murray State
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 17, 2026 (6 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** In the upcoming college football game between South Dakota and Murray State, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game.
This market will resolve to "Murray State" if Murray State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming college football game between South Dakota and Murray State, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00PM ET:
This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game.
This market will resolve to "Murray State" if Murray State win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. South Dakota vs. Murray State
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Spread: South Dakota (-3.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Spread: South Dakota (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Spread: Murray State (-1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Spread: Murray State (-3.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Spread: Murray State (-5.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Spread: Murray State (-7.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Spread: Murray State (-10.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Spread: Murray State (-14.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Murray State: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [South Dakota: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 49.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 51.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 53.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 55.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 57.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 59.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. South Dakota vs. Murray State: Over/Under 61.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Volume$0.00

Markets20

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POLYMARKET

South Dakota vs. Murray State

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

South Dakota vs. Murray State

POLYMARKET

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Murray State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game

POLYMARKET

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Murray State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game

POLYMARKET

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Murray State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game

POLYMARKET

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 17 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "South Dakota" if South Dakota win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Murray State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game

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Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

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52¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/17P9d9" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="South Dakota vs. Murray State"></iframe>

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South Dakota vs. Murray State

South Dakota vs. Murray State

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South Dakota vs. Murray State

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Educational Context

Events (1)

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Markets (20)

South Dakota vs. Murray State

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

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South Dakota vs. Murray State

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South Dakota vs. Murray State

South Dakota vs. Murray State

South Dakota vs. Murray State

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-14.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-10.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-7.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

Spread: South Dakota (-5.5)

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