Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

Total Volume

$2.59K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

Vol

$2.59K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.59K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.59K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

42 markets tracked

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(42)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	21%
Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	18%
Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	17%
Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	9%
Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	9%
Will Deresa Geleta win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	9%
Will CyBrian Kotut win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	9%
Will Conner Mantz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	3%
Will Zouhair Talbi win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Yemaneberhan Crippa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Turner Wiley win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Stephen Jones win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Sam Chelanga win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Robert Miranda win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ryota Kondo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ryan Ford win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ryan Cutter win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Peter Lynch win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Patrick Kiprop win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Patrick Dever win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Paul Chelimo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Owen Ritz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Merga Gemeda win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mo Bati win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kengo Suzuki win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Kamohelo Mofolo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jared Ward win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will JP Trojan win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jack Rowe win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Joel Reichow win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will James Nipperess win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Joe Klecker win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will JP Flavin win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Iliass Aouani win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Haftu Strintzos win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Edward Cheserek win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Casey Clinger win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Aidan Troutner win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Aidan Reed win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ahmed Muhamed win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Andrew Colley win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%
Will Alec Baldwin win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

21%

Top Probability

$2.59K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

New York City - Nov 1, 2026 If X wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** New York City - Nov 1, 2026

If X wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a title holder is declared.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Zouhair Talbi wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Zouhair Talbi win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $248
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yemaneberhan Crippa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Turner Wiley win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Stephen Jones win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Sam Chelanga win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Robert Miranda win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ryota Kondo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ryan Ford win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ryan Cutter win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Peter Lynch win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Patrick Kiprop win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Patrick Dever win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Paul Chelimo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Owen Ritz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Merga Gemeda win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Mo Bati win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Kengo Suzuki win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Kamohelo Mofolo win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Jared Ward win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will JP Trojan win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Jack Rowe win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Joel Reichow win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will James Nipperess win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Joe Klecker win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will JP Flavin win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Iliass Aouani win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Haftu Strintzos win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Edward Cheserek win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Deresa Geleta win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Conner Mantz win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $279
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will CyBrian Kotut win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Casey Clinger win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $247
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Aidan Troutner win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Aidan Reed win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $126
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Ahmed Muhamed win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Andrew Colley win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Alec Baldwin win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

Volume$2.59K

Markets42

42 of 42

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KALSHI

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

If Benson Kipruto wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are th

KALSHI

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.5¢No 82.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

If Andreas Almgren wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are t

KALSHI

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 17.0¢No 83.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

If Abdi Nageeye wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the

KALSHI

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

If Huseydin Mohamed Esa wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names

KALSHI

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

If Geoffrey Kamworor wins the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon Men's Open Division, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/19WUWY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner"></iframe>

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New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

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Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

Markets (42)

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

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Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New York City Marathon Men's Open Division Winner

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Benson Kipruto win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Andreas Almgren win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Abdi Nageeye win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Huseydin Mohamed Esa win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

Will Geoffrey Kamworor win the New York City Marathon Men's Open Division?

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