Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?

Total Volume

$9.56K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?

Vol

$9.56K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $9.56K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.56K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)	Kalshi	82%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)	Kalshi	57%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)	Kalshi	23%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)	Kalshi	9%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)	Kalshi	6%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 7 inches)	Kalshi	2%
Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

82%

Top Probability

$9.56K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Oct 2026 If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than X inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding TWC Report, Daily. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Oct 2026

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than X inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the corresponding TWC Report, Daily. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 7 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 7 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $42
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 6 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $861
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 16, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?

Volume$9.56K

Markets7

7 of 7

Sort:

KALSHI

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHITech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 1 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use

KALSHI

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHITech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 2 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use

KALSHI

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHITech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 3 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use

KALSHI

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHITech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 4 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use

KALSHI

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHITech

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

If the total precipitation at CLISEA in Seattle in Oct 2026 is strictly greater than 5 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value use

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26¢

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Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?

Markets (7)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

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Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026?

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 1 inch)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 2 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 3 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 4 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

Rain in Seattle in Oct 2026? (Above 5 inches)

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