Which states will Trump visit before 2027? | PredictPedia

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8 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	98%
Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	89%
Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	82%
Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	73%
Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	67%
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	67%
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	27%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which states will Trump visit before 2027?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal bound

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Texas before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $700
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $745
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

67¢

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Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

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Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Markets (8)

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Texas before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Ohio before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?

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Discussion

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