Which states will Trump visit before 2027? | PredictPedia

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13 markets tracked

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	95%
Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	79%
Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	75%
Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	71%
Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64%
Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	64%
Will Donald Trump visit Montana before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	63%
Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	51%
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	46%
Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	44%
Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	39%
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	24%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Which states will Trump visit before 2027?
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal bound

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Montana before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the pers"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Donald Trump visit Montana before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Donald Trump visit South Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Donald Trump visit Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, or Vermont before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Donald Trump visit Colorado before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Donald Trump visit Alaska before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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62¢

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Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Markets (13)

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Arizona before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit New York before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit North Carolina before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit Wisconsin before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Donald Trump visit California before Jan 1, 2027?

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