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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Name: MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
End: 2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.94K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Vol

$26.94K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.94K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.94K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

60 markets tracked

Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(60)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	46%
Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	46%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	46%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Miles Robinson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Tim Parker win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Maximiliano Falcón win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	44%
Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	43%
Will Sebastien Ibeagha win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	42%
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	42%
Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	42%
Will Kevin Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	42%
Will Andrew Privett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	41%
Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	41%
Will Sean Nealis win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	41%
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	41%
Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	40%
Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	40%
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	40%
Will Jalen Neal win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	40%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	40%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	39%
Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	39%
Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	38%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	38%
Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	38%
Will Jack Elliott win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	38%
Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	38%
Will Eddie Segura win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Yeimar Gómez Andrade win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Erik Sviatchenko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	37%
Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	36%
Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	36%
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	36%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	35%
Will Gabriele Corbo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	35%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	34%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	32%
Will Lucas Bartlett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	32%
Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	32%
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	31%
Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	28%
Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	28%
Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%
Will Maya Yoshida win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%
Will Stian Gregersen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%
Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$26.94K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Oth

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 12, 2026 (120 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Oth

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $26.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 4.77)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Eddie Segura win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Miles Robinson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.3% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Maya Yoshida win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.8% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jalen Neal win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.2% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Yeimar Gómez Andrade win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.1% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.9% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Stian Gregersen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.2% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.6% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Maximiliano Falcón win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.2% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.2% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.7% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.9% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.7% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.1% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 44.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.8% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.6% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.6% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.1% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Tim Parker win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.3% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Andrew Privett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.6% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.8% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.6% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.2% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Gabriele Corbo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $11.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.7% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Sean Nealis win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.1% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 38.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.7% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Kevin Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.1% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.9% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.4% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.9% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 34.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.4% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will Sebastien Ibeagha win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.8% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.8% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will Jack Elliott win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.1% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.6% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will Lucas Bartlett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.9% (0.0%)]

### 56. Will Erik Sviatchenko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.2% (0.0%)]

### 57. Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.8% (0.0%)]

### 58. Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 59. Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.9% (0.0%)]

### 60. Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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