MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
PM $918.5K
1
60
MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
PM $918.5K
1
60
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Rodrigues at 5.1%.
Polymarket
- Rodrigues5.1%
- Walker Zimmerman4.5%
- Adilson Malanda3.9%
- Joel Waterman3.9%
- Birk Risa3.4%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $918.5K
Reported volume · provider units
60
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The market titled "MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year" resolves to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award [1]. Each player has a separate yes or no contract. The rules set tie-breaking: if there is a tie, the market resolves according to the official winner determined by MLS rules, and if multiple winners are announced, it resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1].
The rules also cover disruption. If the 2026 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or no winner is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Oth[...]", but the excerpt is truncated at that point, so the full outcome cannot be read from the supplied evidence [1].
Listed close times differ across contracts. Some show 2026-11-12T00:00:00Z and others show 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z [1]. These are listed end dates, not announced resolution dates or confirmed award dates. The supplied evidence does not explain the difference.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-13T01:07:46.315Z [1]. These prices describe that observed moment only and may not reflect current conditions.
The sample is partial. Twelve of 60 markets in this provider event are included, ordered by Yes price from highest to lowest [1]. Within that sample, the highest Yes quotes are Andrew Privett at 0.257, Adilson Malanda at 0.2465, and Miguel Tapias at 0.14 [1]. Lower-ranked included contracts include Donovan Pines at 0.045 and Brendan Hines-Ike at 0.042 [1]. The 48 omitted markets are not shown, so the evidence says nothing about their prices.
These are snapshot Yes prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because the sample is partial, it should not be treated as the full field. The supplied evidence contains no ranking across other events or providers, so no comparison beyond this single event is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why prices are where they are, how many traders hold each position, or how much liquidity sits behind any quote. The volume data is not included in this summary and would not establish liquidity in any case.
The award outcome, any MLS announcement timing, and the status of the season are not established by the supplied evidence. Readers should check the contract rules and close times directly before relying on any close date, and should not treat differences between contract prices as an arbitrage opportunity without further verification.
References
- Polymarket: MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year. Provider data observed 2026-10-13T00:00:05.902Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 13, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year contract is a prediction market on who wins the 2026 Major League Soccer award for defenders. The contract rules say it will resolve to the player who wins that award [1]. The rules also set out tie-breaking and fallback conditions, described below. The Major League Soccer season that this award relates to is described in the retrieved Wikipedia article as the ongoing 31st season of the league, which has 30 clubs split into Eastern and Western conferences [3]. That description reflects the article as it was retrieved, so it should be read as a snapshot of the season at that time rather than a confirmed status of the season today. The contract is listed as active, with a listed end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00Z [1]. Individual markets within the same provider event carry different end dates in the saved data. Those dates describe when each contract closes for trading and are not announcement dates for the award. Trading closure, the award being declared, and final resolution are separate events, and the rules do not tie resolution to a specific announcement date. The saved event includes markets for many individual players, but the sample covers only part of the event's markets, so it should not be read as the full list of possible winners.
Historical Context
The supplied sources give only general league background. The retrieved Wikipedia article describes the 2026 Major League Soccer season as the 31st season of the league and the 48th overall season of a national first-division men's soccer league in the United States overseen by the United States Soccer Federation [3]. No supplied source describes the history of the Defender of the Year award itself, so the award's earlier winners and past selection practices cannot be described from this evidence.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a named player wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. Its rules say the market resolves to the official winner of that award as determined under MLS rules [1]. Each individual market in the sample asks whether one specific player will win, with a yes or no outcome [1]. The rules include fallback conditions. If two or more players tie, the contract resolves according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced, the contract resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1]. The rules also address cancellation or postponement. If the 2026 season is cancelled, is postponed past December 31, 2026 Eastern Time, or no winner is declared within that timeframe, the contract resolves to an outcome labeled as Other [1]. The excerpt as retrieved ends partway through that outcome name, so the full wording of that condition is not available here. The prices shown for each market are snapshots taken at a particular time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any player winning. A higher price on one contract does not show that the outcome is more likely in a verified sense, and differences between contracts on the same event do not by themselves indicate an opportunity.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-13 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract resolve to?
It resolves to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award, as determined by MLS rules [1].
What happens if two players tie or more than one winner is announced?
If the award is tied, the contract resolves according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced, it resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or no winner is declared in time?
The rules say the contract resolves to an outcome labeled Other if the 2026 season is cancelled, is postponed after December 31, 2026 Eastern Time, or no winner is declared within that timeframe [1]. The retrieved text of that outcome name is cut off, so its exact wording is not available here.
Do the prices show how likely each player is to win?
No. The prices are snapshots from the provider data at the time they were retrieved. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
