GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Name: MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
End: 2026-11-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$902.11K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year

Vol

$902.11K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $902.11K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $902.11K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

60 markets tracked

Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(60)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	35%
Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	34%
Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	33%
Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	32%
Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	32%
Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	31%
Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	31%
Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	26%
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	26%
Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	26%
Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	26%
Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	25%
Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	25%
Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	25%
Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	25%
Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	24%
Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	24%
Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	24%
Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	24%
Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	23%
Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	23%
Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	8%
Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	6%
Will Sebastien Ibeagha win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	5%
Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	5%
Will Maximiliano Falcón win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Jack Elliott win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Erik Sviatchenko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Sean Nealis win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	4%
Will Jalen Neal win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%
Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	3%
Will Lucas Bartlett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	2%
Will Andrew Privett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	2%
Will Gabriele Corbo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Stian Gregersen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Yeimar Gómez Andrade win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Eddie Segura win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Kevin Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Miles Robinson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Tim Parker win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	1%
Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	0%
Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	0%
Will Maya Yoshida win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

35%

Top Probability

$902.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Oth

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, September 6, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLS: 2026 Defender of the Year
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 12, 2026 (67 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Oth

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $902.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.5K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 95.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aaron Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $420
  DATA: [Yes: 24.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Eddie Segura win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $217
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Matt Miazga win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Miles Robinson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Maya Yoshida win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jalen Neal win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $151
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Yeimar Gómez Andrade win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $264
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jackson Ragen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $11.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ranko Veselinović win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $223
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Tristan Blackmon win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $264
  DATA: [Yes: 25.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.7% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Thiago Martins win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $203
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Birk Risa win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $136
  DATA: [Yes: 26.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.8% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Stian Gregersen win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Enea Mihaj win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $255
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Rudy Camacho win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $335
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Yevhen Cheberko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 34.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Maximiliano Falcón win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $156
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Tomás Avilés win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Brendan Hines-Ike win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $280
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Oleksandr Svatok win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $180
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Andrés Reyes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Christopher McVey win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $168
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Robin Jansson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $388.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Michael Boxall win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $229
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $239
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Kamal Miller win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 32.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Zac McGraw win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $91.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Andreas Maxsø win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $248
  DATA: [Yes: 24.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.8% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Lalas Abubakar win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Carlos Terán win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $173
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Mauricio Pineda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Jack Maher win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $216
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Walker Zimmerman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Justen Glad win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $158
  DATA: [Yes: 26.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.9% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Marcelo Silva win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $176
  DATA: [Yes: 31.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.9% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Henry Kessler win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $151
  DATA: [Yes: 22.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.3% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Dave Romney win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $153
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Tim Parker win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Joakim Nilsson win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $170
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Andrew Privett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $337
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Adilson Malanda win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $244
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Nkosi Tafari win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $171
  DATA: [Yes: 22.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.2% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Sebastien Ibeagha win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.1% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $347.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.6% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Jack Elliott win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $174
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Donovan Pines win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 24.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.8% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Lucas Bartlett win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 49. Will Joel Waterman win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $232
  DATA: [Yes: 23.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.4% (0.0%)]

### 50. Will Gabriele Corbo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 51. Will Erik Sviatchenko win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $176
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 52. Will Micael win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $304
  DATA: [Yes: 34.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.3% (0.0%)]

### 53. Will Sean Nealis win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 54. Will Noah Eile win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 55. Will Rodrigues win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $23.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 56. Will Daniel Munie win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $306
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.6% (0.0%)]

### 57. Will Robert Voloder win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 58. Will Dany Rosero win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.1% (0.0%)]

### 59. Will Sigurd Rosted win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 30.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.3% (0.0%)]

### 60. Will Kevin Long win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 12, 2026): Vol $257
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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