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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year Winner

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year Winner
Vol

PM $29.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

42

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Kenneth Walker III at 26.7%.

Polymarket

  1. Kenneth Walker III26.7%
  2. Jahmyr Gibbs25%
  3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba13%
  4. Bijan Robinson10%
  5. Puka Nacua6.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $29.6K

Reported volume · provider units

42

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event asks which player will win the 2026 Associated Press NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 season, and each player has a separate yes or no contract [1]. The market "will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press (AP) NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season" [1]. The rules add three special cases. A tie resolves "according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules" [1]. If multiple winners are announced, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the season is cancelled, postponed after the stated deadline, or no winner is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

The listed end time is 2027-03-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not an announced date for the award. The rules' reference to February 28, 2027 is a condition in the resolution language, not a scheduled event.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-18T07:49:38.419Z [1]. The prices describe that observation only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Among the included contracts, the highest Yes prices in this snapshot are Jahmyr Gibbs at 0.255, Bijan Robinson at 0.16, and Kenneth Walker III at 0.158 [1]. Each contract is a separate question, so these figures should not be averaged or combined with prices from other events or platforms.

The sample is partial. Twelve of 42 markets from this provider event are included, selected by descending Yes price [1]. The other 30 markets are not shown, so this snapshot cannot tell you their prices. Readers should not treat the included list as the complete field.

What remains uncertain

The evidence contains one provider event, one source, and one retrieval. It does not show why prices are at these levels, how many participants are involved, or the trading volume behind each contract. Volume is not a measure of liquidity or trader count.

The market was listed as active at the time of the snapshot [1]. No resolution has occurred in the supplied evidence, and no later price observations are included. Readers should check the current provider page before relying on any figure.

References

  1. Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTC

This saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.

Overview

The contract is a Polymarket event titled "Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Player of the Year Winner" [1]. It asks which player will win the 2026 Associated Press NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season [1]. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2027-03-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That listed time is when the contract closes under its rules. The contract rules do not state a date for when the award will be announced. The Associated Press award sits within a larger set of honors. The AP NFL Most Valuable Player award is presented by the Associated Press and is described as the de facto official NFL MVP award and the most prestigious [2]. Since 2012, the NFL has held the annual NFL Honors ceremony to recognize the winner of the AP MVP award and other AP awards, including the AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year [2]. This background explains where the award comes from. It does not confirm any current event, and the supplied evidence does not name the 2026-27 winner. The contract's rules set the outcome. The market resolves to the player who wins the award for the 2026-27 season [1]. If two or more players tie, the market resolves according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced, the market resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the 2026-27 season is cancelled, is postponed after February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise produces no declared winner within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The market data is a partial sample. At the observation time of 2026-10-18T06:00:06Z, the saved event contained 42 markets, and 12 are included here [1]. Each included market is a separate Yes or No question about one named player. The sample is ordered by Yes price, highest first. Among the included markets, the Gibbs market had the highest Yes price at 0.255, followed by Robinson at 0.16, Walker at 0.158, and Smith-Njigba at 0.135. The 30 omitted markets are not shown, so their prices cannot be inferred from this sample. These are snapshots at one point in time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Historical Context

The AP NFL Most Valuable Player award is presented annually by the Associated Press to a player judged the most valuable in that year's regular season [2]. The retrieved Wikipedia page describes the AP award as the de facto official NFL MVP award, and says the NFL has held the NFL Honors ceremony since 2012 to recognize AP award winners, including the AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year [2]. The same page names quarterback Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams as the most recent MVP winner, as stated on that page at retrieval [2]. This is historical background from a retrieved encyclopedia page and is not a present-day update on the 2026-27 award.

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether a specific player wins the AP NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 season [1]. Its outcome is tied to the official award rather than to any other honor. The rules also cover edge cases that could change the result: ties, multiple announced winners, and a cancelled or postponed season or a season with no declared winner [1]. Because the rules name official NFL information as the resolution source, with credible reporting as a possible supplement, the contract's terms depend on how that award is actually determined [1]. The market prices shown here are one-time snapshots from a partial sample of one event. They are useful for seeing how the sampled Yes prices were positioned at that moment, but they are not verified probabilities. Different contracts with different prices are not an arbitrage opportunity by themselves.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Who does this contract resolve to?

The market resolves to the player who wins the 2026 Associated Press NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season [1].

What happens if there is a tie or more than one winner?

In a tie, the market resolves according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced, it resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically [1].

What happens if the season is cancelled or no winner is declared?

If the 2026-27 season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise produces no declared winner within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].

What source determines the result?

The stated resolution source is official information from the NFL, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].

Does the listed end time mean the award will be announced then?

No. The listed end time of 2027-03-01T04:59:00.000Z is the contract's closing time [1]. The contract rules set a February 28, 2027 cutoff for postponement, but they do not announce when the award will be made.

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiSports
Offensive Player of the Year Finalists

Offensive Player of the Year Finalists

K 2.3K contracts
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 51.5%
Will Puka Nacua be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 45%
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 45%
+40 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Defensive Player of the Year Finalists

Defensive Player of the Year Finalists

K 137.01 contracts
Will Will Anderson Jr. be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Defensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 53%
Will Greg Rousseau be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Defensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 50.5%
Will Aidan Hutchinson be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Defensive Player of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 47%
+37 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
KalshiSports
Offensive Rookie of the Year Finalists

Offensive Rookie of the Year Finalists

K 222.89 contracts
Will Fernando Mendoza be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Rookie of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 57.5%
Will Jeremiyah Love be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Rookie of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 51%
Will KC Concepcion be selected as a finalist for the Pro Football Offensive Rookie of the Year award in the 2026-27 season?Yes 49.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Player of the Year Winner

PM $21.8K
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 39.5%
Will Fred Warner win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 10.8%
Will Aidan Hutchinson win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 9.5%
+36 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year Winner

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Comeback Player of the Year Winner

PM $9.6K
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 69%
Will Malik Nabers win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 4.9%
Will Kyler Murray win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 4.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Feb 11, 2027 UTC
PolymarketSports
Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Offensive Rookie of the Year Winner

PM $41.1K
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 16.5%
Will Fernando Mendoza win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 4%
Will Omar Cooper Jr. win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes 3.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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