GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

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When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

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Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?	Kalshi	87%
Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?	Kalshi	40%
Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?	Kalshi	10%

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87%

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About This Event

Gemini 3.5 Pro If Google releases X model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Gemini 3.5 Pro

If Google releases X model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul X 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 24, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

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KALSHI

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

If Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close

KALSHI

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.5¢No 60.5¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

If Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close

KALSHI

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHITech

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

If Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close

KALSHI

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHITech

CLOSING SOON

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

If Google releases A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater before Jul 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/1MWWcL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?"></iframe>

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When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

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Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Markets (4)

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

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Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 31, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 24, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 17, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro before Jul 10, 2026?

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