Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

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$16.92K

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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

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$16.92K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $16.92K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.92K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	100%
Will Trump say "Crooked Hillary" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	93%
Will Trump say "Newscum" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	90%
Will Trump say "Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	71%
Will Trump say "Whack Job / Wack Job" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	70%
Will Trump say "Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	68%
Will Trump say "Piggy" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	51%
Will Trump say "Marjorie Traitor Greene" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	43%
Will Trump say "Crazy Nancy" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	34%
Will Trump say "Fat Slob" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will Trump say "Low Energy" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	32%
Will Trump say "Crazy Bernie" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	28%
Will Trump say "Fake Tapper" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	21%
Will Trump say "Little Communist" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	18%
Will Trump say "Rocket Man" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	16%
Will Trump say "Biden Crime Family" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	15%
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$16.92K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X / Y or a plural or possessive form Z / Y is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/w

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 1, 2027

If X / Y or a plural or possessive form Z / Y is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts, Twitter/Truth Social. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/w

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Whack Job / Wack Job, or a plural or possessive form of Whack Job / Wack Job, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria
The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $16.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump say "Whack Job / Wack Job" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $280
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $387
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump say "Slopadopolous / Slopadopolus" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $267
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $770
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump say "Rocket Man" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump say "Piggy" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump say "Newscum" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $91
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump say "Marjorie Traitor Greene" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $71
  DATA: [Yes: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump say "Low Energy" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $920
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump say "Little Communist" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $277
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump say "Fat Slob" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $527
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump say "Fake Tapper" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $253
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump say "Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $230
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump say "Crooked Hillary" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump say "Crazy Nancy" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $632
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump say "Crazy Bernie" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $944
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $144
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Trump say "Biden Crime Family" before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

Volume$16.92K

Markets21

21 of 21

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KALSHI

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

If Too Late, or a plural or possessive form of Too Late, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public stateme

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

If Talafreako / Tala Freako, or a plural or possessive form of Talafreako / Tala Freako, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by Presiden

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

If Sleazebag, or a plural or possessive form of Sleazebag, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public state

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

If Low IQ, or a plural or possessive form of Low IQ, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements,

KALSHI

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

If Crooked Joe, or a plural or possessive form of Crooked Joe, is stated by Donald Trump after October 1, 2026 at 10:00am ET and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public s

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Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

Markets (21)

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

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What nicknames will Trump say before 2027?

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Too Late" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Talafreako / Tala Freako" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Sleazebag" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Low IQ" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Trump say "Crooked Joe" before Jan 1, 2027?

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