$20.35K
1
11
$20.35K
1
11
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
CREI at PROV (Jan 16) If Creighton and Providence collectively score over X total points in the Creighton at Providence men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Jan 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
The prediction market is pricing in an 80% probability that the total combined score in the Creighton at Providence men's college basketball game will exceed 147.5 points. This high confidence level indicates the market strongly expects a high-scoring offensive contest. With the "Yes" share trading at 80 cents, the implied odds suggest bettors view going over this total as four times more likely than staying under.
Two primary basketball factors are likely driving this bullish outlook on the over. First, both Creighton and Providence play in the Big East Conference, which is known for its fast-paced, offensive-oriented style of play in recent seasons. Teams often prioritize efficient scoring over defensive grind. Second, the specific point total of 147.5 is a key benchmark. In modern college basketball, this is a high line, typically set for games between potent offenses or weaker defenses. The market's 80% confidence suggests traders believe the teams' offensive firepower will easily meet this elevated expectation, possibly due to strong three-point shooting or transition play that leads to more possessions and points.
The primary risk to the current high-probability "Over" consensus is a shift in game tempo or defensive execution. If either team imposes a slower, more methodical half-court pace, the number of scoring opportunities could decrease significantly. Key upcoming catalysts include any last-minute player availability news, particularly regarding injuries to star offensive players. A defensive-oriented game plan from either coach, perhaps to control the pace on their home court for Providence, could also lower the final score. The market's thin liquidity, with only $6,000 in volume, means odds could be volatile if sharp money enters with a contrary view on the total points closer to game time.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on the total combined points scored in a men's college basketball game between Creighton University and Providence College, originally scheduled for January 16, 2026. The market resolves to 'Yes' if the two teams collectively score over a predetermined point threshold (X), and to 'No' if they score under that threshold. This type of wager, commonly known as an 'over/under' or 'total' bet, is a popular derivative in sports betting and prediction markets, where participants forecast whether the combined offensive output of both teams will exceed or fall short of a line set by oddsmakers. The game is part of the Big East Conference regular season schedule, a premier NCAA Division I basketball league known for competitive play and high-scoring offenses. Prediction markets like this one allow participants to trade contracts based on their expectations of game outcomes, creating a financial instrument that aggregates crowd wisdom about specific events. The market operator, Kalshi, explicitly notes it has no affiliation with the NCAA or its trademarks, operating independently as a platform for event-based trading. Interest in this market stems from several factors, including the historical rivalry between Creighton and Providence, the offensive styles of both programs, and broader trends in college basketball scoring. Participants analyze team statistics, player matchups, coaching strategies, and venue factors (Providence's home court at the Amica Mutual Pavilion) to inform their positions. The market's early closure provision if the event occurs ensures resolution aligns with the actual game outcome, typical for event contracts. This topic represents the intersection of sports analytics, behavioral economics, and speculative trading, attracting both basketball enthusiasts and quantitative traders seeking to capitalize on their predictive insights.
The Creighton-Providence basketball series dates to 1978, with the programs becoming conference rivals when Creighton joined the reconstituted Big East in 2013. Historically, games between these teams have featured notable scoring outputs, reflecting both programs' offensive orientations. In the 2023-2024 season, their two meetings produced totals of 147 points (Creighton 69, Providence 78 on January 17, 2024) and 152 points (Creighton 79, Providence 73 on February 24, 2024), both exceeding typical NCAA averages. The broader historical context includes a significant upward trend in college basketball scoring over the past decade. The NCAA's emphasis on freedom of movement rules, implemented around 2013, and a faster-paced style of play have increased average possessions and points per game. During the 2023-2024 season, Division I men's basketball averaged 71.7 points per team per game, the highest mark since the 1994-1995 season. This offensive surge directly impacts over/under lines, which have steadily risen. Creighton and Providence exemplify this trend. Under Greg McDermott, Creighton has consistently ranked in the top 50 nationally in offensive efficiency (KenPom metrics), including a top 10 finish in 2023-2024. Providence, while traditionally more defensive under former coach Ed Cooley, has shifted toward a higher-tempo approach under Kim English, as evidenced by their 2024 NIT appearance where they averaged 78 points per game in the tournament. The January scheduling slot is also historically significant, as conference play intensifies and teams have established offensive identities, making point total predictions more data-informed than in non-conference play.
This prediction market topic matters because it represents a microcosm of the growing intersection between sports analytics, financial markets, and fan engagement. The ability to trade on specific game outcomes like total points transforms passive viewership into active participation, creating economic stakes that deepen interest in collegiate athletics. For universities like Creighton and Providence, high-scoring, entertaining games enhance brand visibility, recruitment appeal, and alumni engagement, potentially impacting fundraising and program prestige. The market also has implications for the broader sports betting ecosystem. As regulated sports wagering expands across the United States, prediction markets offer an alternative, exchange-based model that emphasizes information aggregation rather than traditional bookmaking. Data from these markets can provide real-time insights into collective expectations about game dynamics, which analysts, media, and even coaches might monitor. Furthermore, the legal and regulatory status of such markets remains an evolving area, with ongoing debates about their distinction from gambling and their potential utility for forecasting. For participants, successful prediction requires analyzing complex variables like team tempo, defensive efficiency, injury reports, and even venue-specific factors (Providence's smaller, louder home court can influence shooting percentages). This encourages deeper sports literacy and data analysis skills among a broader audience.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
Share your predictions and analysis with other traders. Coming soon!
11 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 150.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 79% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 147.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 78% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 153.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 67% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 156.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 61% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 159.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 54% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 162.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 46% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 165.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 42% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 168.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 33% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 171.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 27% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 174.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 24% |
Creighton at Providence: Total Points (Over 177.5 points scored) | Kalshi | 18% |
No related news found
Add this market to your website
<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/1O-ImF" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Creighton at Providence: Total Points"></iframe>